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Bitcoin (BTC): Healthy Retracement Or Beginning Of The Next Downtrend?

Bitcoin (BTC): Healthy Retracement Or Beginning Of The Next Downtrend?

Bitcoin (BTC) started the week in red by declining sharply from $8,740 to $8,356. It is trading close to $8,500 at the moment but the crash made a lot of analysts start talking about the next big crash or the most anticipated downtrend. While we still expect that crash to happen, we believe this rally still has some room to go before the next big downtrend. The recent crash might have trapped in some more bears that would most likely be hunted down by the whales as they run their stops and push the price above $9,000 in the near future. It is very tempting to be bearish at this point but from a bearish perspective, just because things are bad does not mean they cannot get worse. The daily chart for BTC/USD shows that the price just tested the bottom of the rising wedge and is ready to climb again.

The bullish momentum that took BTC/USD from $5,129 to current levels seems to be lost. This points to the possibility of a sluggish rally towards $9,000 and onwards. The reason we expect the price to rally past $9,000 is because a test of the 38.2% retracement level from the previous all-time high is important for the price to confirm a bullish or bearish trend. Throughout the history of Bitcoin (BTC), we have seen the price face rejection at this level the first time it tests it during a bear market. After that when the bear trend is over and the market is about to begin a new cycle, the price tests the 38.2% fib retracement from ATH and it breaks past it. So far, we have not had a prior retest of this level in the ongoing cycle. This would be the first test which is why if history is to repeat, we are going to see a sharp decline towards the bottom from there.

Regardless of short term price action, the big picture remains intact and it is very clear. The Schiff Pitchfork on the weekly chart shows which stage of the previous cycle BTC/USD is currently in. We can see that it is in the 2014 part of the cycle and not the 2015 part of the cycle. Moreover, if we were in the 2015 part of the cycle, the NVT indicator would be flashing a buy signal not a sell signal. Besides, the bullish euphoria already tells us which way the herd is leaning. Dumb money never takes the lead; it is always the smart money that rides the new cycle from the bottom.

The smart money did ride the current rally from the temporary bottom just as we all saw and when they dump their bags on those overly enthusiastic bulls; they are going to wait for the next bottom. When the price of Bitcoin (BTC) bottoms the majority of retail bulls will be pessimistic not optimistic. They will not expect the price to rocket to the moon; instead they will be heartbroken and disappointed to see the price falling from $9,000 to $1,800 or lower levels. When the opportunity to buy comes, they will not be buying as they will already be holding big bags at deep losses. Then it will be the smart money to take the lead and begin the new bullish cycle just as it did recently.

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Ampleforth Launches on TRON and Two Other New Blockchains

Ampleforth Launches on TRON and Two Other New Blockchains

Ampleforth (AMPL), the algorithmically stabilized smart money protocol, is now launching on three new blockchains: TRON, Acala (Polkadot), and NEAR.

According to the announcement, the move is part of Ampleforth’s plans to provide a core monetary asset to users on multiple blockchains, helping to support the rapidly developing decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem on these chains. 

What is AMPL?

Simply put, Ampleforth is an alternative to stablecoins as a blockchain-based store of value and stabilized unit of purchasing power. Unlike these assets which are usually backed by fiat currencies such as the US dollar (USD) or euro (EUR) to maintain a stable value, the value of AMPL is instead entirely set by supply and demand.

This is achieved with a novel solution: changing the amount of AMPL in circulation to meet demand. When demand for AMPL increases, so too does the supply, when demand decreases, so too does the supply — this process is known as a rebase. This essentially means the amount of AMPL a user holds in their wallet expands or contracts based on changes in the total supply. 

To put this into perspective, if you were holding 1,000 AMPL one day, the next day you might be holding 1,100 AMPL if there is a 10% positive rebase. Likewise, you could be holding 900 AMPL if there is a 10% negative rebase. This process is non-dilutive, which essentially means you will always maintain the same proportion of the entire supply. If you owned 1% of all AMPL before a rebase, you will still own 1% of all AMPL after. 

The system is designed to provide a new type of “base money” that is uncorrelated with traditional markets, including fiat and cryptocurrency markets — instead, having its value and circulating supply set based on the demands of its users. This represents a new building block for DeFi, since AMPL can be used as an uncorrelated asset, debt instrument, collateral, and much more without any ties that go back to fiat money. 

Why TRON?

Although the Ampleforth protocol was launched on three new blockchains: Acala, NEAR, and TRON, the latter of these is arguably the most prominent. 

 

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In the second half of 2020, TRON has massively expanded its DeFi ecosystem and is now the second most popular blockchain for DeFi applications after Ethereum. Unlike Acala and NEAR, which are still somewhat in their nascent stages of ecosystem development, TRON already has many of the most important DeFi building blocks in place. 

It already has a TRC20 decentralized automatic market maker protocol (AMM) in JustSwap, liquidity mining platforms like SUN and DMDT, and its own DeFi lending and borrowing protocol with Zethyr Finance. As a result, it is most poised to benefit from the uncorrelated adaptive money. 

“Tron’s ecosystem is obsessed with cutting-edge DeFi assets and capabilities, which is why everyone is so excited about AMPL,” said Justin Sun, founder of TRON, CEO of BitTorrent in the announcement. “We expect deep liquidity pools to form early on in order to support widespread use for trading and collateral as soon as possible.”

 

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Brad Garlinghouse notes now much of an impact Fiat inflation has had on the world of crypto in 2020

Brad Garlinghouse notes now much of an impact Fiat inflation has had on the world of crypto in 2020

Quick take

1 minute read

  • Many people have predicted that in 2021, the world of cryptocurrency will spike to highs not seen before.
  • Brad Garlinghouse has recently said that next year will see a plethora of adoption when it comes to the growth of digital assets and the overall industry as people look to diversify their portfolios.

Many people have predicted that in 2021, the world of cryptocurrency will spike to highs not seen before.

To that end, the chief executive officer of the San Francisco-based blockchain company Ripple, Brad Garlinghouse has recently said that next year will see a plethora of new adoption when it comes to the growth of digital assets and the overall industry as people look to diversify their portfolios.

He said:

“Looking forward to 2021 as more companies hold crypto on their balance sheets (diversification is key here).”

Brad made his comments during an interview with Julia Chatterley of CNN earlier this week as he went on to say that this year has been particularly exciting for the industry. Numerous gains have been experienced over the course of 2020 and it doesn’t seem that it is slowing down.

As many of us are well aware, coronavirus has been a big part as to why digital payments have become more popular. Many people are using digital currencies as a form of payment, investment and as a store of value. Big institutional investors such as PayPal is one company that has been getting further involvement within the industry.

On this topic, the CEO noted that numerous governments from all over the world have played a big part in boosting the performance and adoption of several cryptos over the course of this year.

“Many governments around the world are printing more fiat currencies. Here in the United States, you see trillions of dollars in stimulus and that means we’re inflating the US dollar.”

Over the course of 2020, the world of cryptocurrency has grown massively with many people predicting that this growth is only going to increase in the coming year. The CEO went on to discuss the long-term value of my crypto assets. He specifically mentioned the store of value and the utility as he highlighted:

“The long-term value of any digital asset is going to be derived from its utility.  One utility is a store of value and you’re seeing that across Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that don’t have an inflationary dynamic.”

For more news on this and other crypto updates, keep it with CryptoDaily!

© 2020 CryptoDaily All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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FinHub arm of The SEC set to become an independent office

FinHub arm of The SEC set to become an independent office

Quick take

1 minute read

  • In an announcement, the securities and exchange commission and their financial technology team will soon become an independent office. 
  • Launched two years ago, the strategic hub for innovation and financial technology from the SEC has been the forefront of securities regulation.

In an announcement that was revealed earlier this week on the 3rd of December, the United States securities and exchange commission and their financial technology team will soon become an independent office. Launched two years ago in 2018, the strategic hub for innovation and financial technology (otherwise known as FinHub) from the SEC has been the forefront of securities regulation.

This sidearm for the SEC has been clearly quite busy the past few years as it goes after numerous initial coin offerings and other related things to the crypto industry.

Valerie Szczepanik, the leader of the hub for innovation will now be reporting directly to the chairman of the commission. For now, that is Jay Clayton who is set to stand down from his position next year but speaking on the matter, he said:

"The SEC is committed to innovation in our markets, consistent with our time-tested regulatory framework. Our action to establish FinHub as standalone office furthers our commitment to facilitate the introduction of new technologies for the benefit of investors and the efficiency and resiliency of our markets. The agency is fortunate to benefit from Val's expertise and deep knowledge in the areas of innovation, financial technology and investor protection, and I’m pleased she will continue to lead FinHub as its first director."

Director of the Division of Corporation Finance, Bill Hinman said:

"Not surprisingly, FinHub has thrived under Valerie's leadership. This move to enhance FinHub's role in leading and coordinating policy across all SEC Divisions and Offices will benefit market innovators and strengthen investor protection."

For more news on this and other crypto updates, keep it with CryptoDaily!

© 2020 CryptoDaily All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Willy Woo: $200,000 for BTC next year is “Conservative“

Willy Woo: $200,000 for BTC next year is “Conservative“

Quick take

1 minute read

  • Well-known analyst and crypto commentator, Willy Woo has recently given some bullish predictions on the leading crypto coin.
  • Many people are very excited as bitcoin hitting $300,000 by the end of next year is “not out of the question“.

Well-known analyst and crypto commentator, Willy Woo has recently given some bullish predictions on the leading crypto coin.

Many people are very excited for the leading cryptocurrency to reach $20,000 before the end of this year but that could be seen as just a dent in the grand scheme of things as bitcoin hitting $300,000 by the end of next year is “not out of the question“ according to the expert.

Over the course of 2020, bitcoin has been appreciating in value by more than 175%. In March, the coin was priced somewhere in the $3000 range but now, we are looking at $18,000/$19,000 at the least.

But the analyst believes that it still has more room for further gains for the coin. 

The price point of $200,000 is seen as “Conservative“ to the analyst.

The analyst has been well known to be bullish over the past few weeks. He has even predicted that XRP, the token from the San Francisco company ripple, will have an exciting year despite having a lacklustre one in 2020.

For more news on this and other crypto updates, keep it with CryptoDaily!

© 2020 CryptoDaily All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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