Hot Topics

Advertisement

Bitcoin (BTC): The Two Possible Scenarios

Bitcoin (BTC): The Two Possible Scenarios
Bitcoin Chart With Values Bitcoin (BTC) is in a no trade zone as far as traders are concerned. The number of bulls is low compared to that of bears and confused investors. The above daily chart for BTC/USD shows that Bitcoin (BTC) is reluctant to test the 61.8% Fib retracement level from the previous high. Even if it does test that level, confusion will continue to loom over as long as Bitcoin (BTC) stays below $10,000. Bitcoin (BTC)’s trading volume is on a constant decline. Institutional investors have showed interest in Bitcoin (BTC) the last few months. However, they seem to be waiting for a green signal before they get involved. As for retail investors who lost money panic selling, the price has to fall a lot deeper before they buy again. There seems to be a lot of buyers around the $5,800 level which is why it has not been breached yet.

The Bullish Pennant

Bitcoin (BTC) has successfully formed a bullish pennant that extends all the way towards the end of October. Since mid July, Bitcoin (BTC) has also been forming higher lows. This is a very bullish development that could lend Bitcoin (BTC) the strength it needs to break the downtrend resistance and begin a new rally. RSI conditions seem ripe for such a rally. Wave trend analysis also shows that there is ample room for growth. If Bitcoin breaks out of this bullish pennant, it will rise rapidly towards $10,000. This will convince most investors waiting on the sidelines to board the train. This is the first scenario and also the most probable one. As we have seen in the past, bullish pennants break out to the upside most of the time. Bitcoin Chart With Values

The Triangle

A large majority of cryptocurrency investors are of the view that BTC/USD is trading in a triangle and it has to break down first. A variant to this scenario is that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) must touch the bottom of the triangle once more before it rises up again. However, the vast majority is sold on the idea of Bitcoin (BTC) breaking market structure. For that to happen, Bitcoin (BTC) will have to breach through the strong $5,800 support and then settle around $5,100 level. This scenario is also referred to as the final shakeout. Considering the manipulation we have seen in the past, it is likely that the whales can pull off something like this. However, now that institutional money is ready to buy the dips around $5,800, this scenario does not appear very plausible. Exchanges like Coinbase and Baakt have been busy buying the dips for clients these past few months. The whales cannot play with these guys; they invented the game. These exchanges are not going to be alarmed if the price falls below $5,800. Considering the state of global markets and economies, institutional investors are running towards cryptocurrencies to diversify and hedge against the next financial crisis. The Fed has run out of ammo and is extremely unlikely to bail out the markets this time. Back in 1988, thirty years from now, The Economist predicted that in 2018, we will have one global currency, “Phoenix”. This is it.

You can share this post!

Advertisement

Advertisement

crdt banner

BTC/USD Holding 19012.07 After Rebound: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 3 December 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Holding 19012.07 After Rebound:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 3 December 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) moved higher in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 19466.58 area after trading as low as the 18885.00 area in the European session, a test of the 18922.31 area that represents the 23.6% retracement of the recent appreciating range from 15708.24 to 19915.14. The pair has recently traded around its recently-established all-time high around the 19915.14 area, a level that was established after Stops were elected above the previous all-time high of 19891.99.  Additional upside price objectives include the 20311.36, 20534.46, and 21909.24 areas, levels that relate to buying pressure that emerged earlier this year around the 6430.00 and 6854.67 areas.

Following the move to a recent all-time high, traders are paying close attention to recent areas of upside buying pressure, including the 13215.00, 14310.00, 15708.24, 16200.00, and 17610.77 areas.  Some important retracement levels related to these ranges include 18762.96, 18154.60, 17355.69, 17112.57, 16701.07, 16304.69, and 15935.90.  Below current price activity, additional areas of technical support include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18393.19 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 19034.75.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19915.14/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

You can share this post!

Advertisement

crdt banner

BTC/USD Priming for Another All-Time High? Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 2 December 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Priming for Another All-Time High? Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 2 December 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) moved higher in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 19165.94 area after trading as low as the 18335.00 area in the Asian session, a test of the 200-hour simple moving average.  The pair traded at an intraday high around the 19340 area during the European session, above the 61.8% retracement of the recent depreciating range from 19915.14 to 18109.00BTC/USD established a fresh all-time high at the 19915.14 area earlier this week after Stops were elected above the previous all-time high of 19891.99.  Traders are eyeing the 20311.36, 20534.46, and 21909.24 areas as upside price objectives.  The pair stopped short of testing the 15808.49 area during the recent move lower, representing the 23.6% retracement of the wide appreciating range and recent absolute 2020 range from 3858 to 19500.  Significant Stops were elected during the recent decline including below the 18605.14, 18275.16, 18016.74, 17604.12, 17517.42, 17156.69, 17099.13, 16905.00, 16603.10, 16357.50, and 16292.58 levels

Traders will pay close attention to some potential areas of technical support during pullbacks lower and these include the 16092.69 and 15935.90 areas.  Notably, the 15935.90 and 16304.69 areas represent the 76.4% and 78.6% retracements of a relative historical depreciation from 19891.99 to 3128.89.  Further below current market activity, traders are paying close attention to additional potential areas of technical support during pullbacks and these include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18371.71 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 19137.33.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19915.14/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

You can share this post!

Advertisement

crdt banner

ETH/USD Orbiting 600.00: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 2 December 2020 ETH

ETH/USD Orbiting 600.00: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 2 December 2020 ETH

Ethereum (ETH/USD) rallied in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 600.63 area after trading as low as the 575.08 area in the Asian session. The pair peaked around the 604.96 area in the European session before settling back to the 583.80 area. The pair spiked to the 636.53 level this week, a fresh multi-year high, after Stops were elected above the 623.22 area, a recent relative multi-year highStops were also triggered above the 627.83 area, an upside price objective related to historical buying pressure around the 80.60 area.  Chartists are carefully monitoring retracement levels following the climb to the recent multi-year high, and these include the 599.61 and 576.77 areas, below which Stops were recently elected.  Additional retracement levels include 558.31, 539.84, and 517.00 and Additional upside price objectives include the 638.28 and 652.36 levels.  The pair’s recent pullback was a test of the 479.03 area, representing the 78.6% retracement of the appreciating range from 439.77 to 623.22.  One level that traders are carefully monitoring is the 503.57 area, a level that represents the 38.2% retracement of the recent appreciating range from 310.00 to 623.22, and price activity was recently buoyed above this area.

 Stops were recently elected below a series of retracement levels including 579.73, 563.58, 553.14, 531.50, 526.88, 509.85, 496.86, and 483.06. Larger Stops were elected below the 550.01 and 504.72 areas, retracement levels related to the wider appreciating range from 313.00 to 623.22.  On the upside, Stops were recently elected above the 615.19 area during the climb higher, an upside price objective related to buying activity that originated around the 142.10 level earlier this year.  The pair’s next upside price objectives include the 637.79, 668.87, 679.78, and 698.88 levels.   Stops were also recently elected above the 583.59 and 592.24 areas during the ascent, retracement levels related to selling pressure that commenced around the 894.50 and 1419.96 levelsStops were also recently elected above the 519.16, 521.13, 524.97, and 540.64 areas during the ascent higher, preceded by Stops triggered above the 503.54, 508.69, and 510.22 levels.  Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 567.84 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 598.79.

Technical Support is expected around 417.60/ 388.49/ 366.72 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 637.79/ 668.87/ 679.78 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

You can share this post!

Advertisement

crdt banner

BTC/USD Establishes New All-Time High at 19915.14: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 1 December 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Establishes New All-Time High at 19915.14:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 1 December 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) reclaimed some lost ground early early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 19500.00 area trading as low as the 18109.00 area earlier in the Asian session, right around the 100-hour simple moving average.  Traders observe that BTC/USD established a fresh all-time high at the 19915.14 area during the European session after Stops were elected above the previous all-time high of 19891.99.  Traders are eyeing the 20311.36, 20534.46, and 21909.24 areas as upside price objectives.  The pair stopped short of testing the 15808.49 area during the recent move lower, representing the 23.6% retracement of the wide appreciating range and absolute 2020 range from 3858 to 19500.  Significant Stops were elected during the recent decline including below the 18605.14, 18275.16, 18016.74, 17604.12, 17517.42, 17156.69, 17099.13, 16905.00, 16603.10, 16357.50, and 16292.58 levels

Traders will pay close attention to some potential areas of technical support during pullbacks lower and these include the 16092.69 and 15935.90 areas.  Notably, the 15935.90 and 16304.69 areas represent the 76.4% and 78.6% retracements of a historical depreciation from 19891.99 to 3128.89.  Further below current market activity, traders are paying close attention to additional potential areas of technical support during pullbacks and these include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18291.07 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 18943.43.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19915.14/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.

You can share this post!