On February 5th, Bitcoin experienced a surge, surpassing the $43,500 mark, coinciding with the opening of Wall Street, as U.S. markets reacted to tumultuous events in the Chinese stock market.
Bitstamp reported local highs of $43,515 for Bitcoin, marking a new record for the cryptocurrency’s price in February.
This price rally was ignited by the abrupt drop of 8% in China’s CSI 1000 index, prompting Chinese authorities to enforce stricter controls on short selling.
Concerns about a potential recession in China began to circulate, with observations of a “disconnect” between large and small-cap stocks, causing China’s market to lose an astounding $7 trillion in value over the past three years.
Bitcoin’s volatility was further fueled by a significant increase in open interest, reaching $775 million, as reported by J. A. Maartunn, a contributor to the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant.
Despite the volatile market conditions, outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) remained relatively low, with approximately 2,600 BTC leaving the trust, continuing a downward trend seen in previous days.
Keith Alan, co-founder of the trading tool Material Indicators, analyzed the order book composition and issued a cautionary note regarding Bitcoin’s price.
He highlighted that there was limited liquidity immediately below the current spot price, making a drop to $42,000 appear quite plausible.
Furthermore, Alan noted that liquidity was more abundant around the $25,000 range, indicating growing sentiment for a potential price dip.
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He emphasized the relationship between liquidity and sentiment, explaining that increased liquidity often reflects prevailing market sentiment.
Alan also pointed out that the ladder of ask liquidity above the current spot price was gradually decreasing, suggesting that a rapid ascent to $45,000 or higher in the short term was unlikely.
In summary, Bitcoin’s price surged to over $43,500 as a response to the turmoil in the Chinese stock market.
This spike was accompanied by increased open interest and relatively low outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust.
However, caution was advised due to limited liquidity below the current price, with the potential for a dip to $42,000.
Overall, market sentiment remained uncertain, with the possibility of further price fluctuations in the near future.
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