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Bitcoin Halving Not ‘Fully Priced In’ as Fresh Rally Expected with $100,000 Target

With only about 34 days left until the Bitcoin halving event, which will slash the Bitcoin issuance rate by half, there’s a buzz in the cryptocurrency market.

Basile Maire, D8X co-founder and former UBS executive director, in an interview with Cointelegraph, emphasized the significant impact this event could have on supply and demand dynamics.

He said, “There seems to be more demand and less supply, so according to the old economic rules, prices have to move up.

“So the question now: is the [Bitcoin halving] priced in? Probably not to the full extent.”

‘This anticipated event is set against the backdrop of Bitcoin’s price surging past $71,000 for the first time on March 11, signaling robust market optimism.

This bullish sentiment is further echoed in the Bitcoin futures market, where expectations are steering towards a remarkable climb to the $100,000 mark by May.

Maire detailed, “The option data says that people expect Bitcoin price to be in the range of $80,000 to $100,000.

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“For instance, in May, there was quite a spike in open interest for $100,000. While it’s not a big volume [spike]. I still think this means something.”

Adding to the fervor is the upcoming U.S. presidential election, seen by Maire as a potential positive catalyst for the crypto market.

He believes measures to stabilize traditional markets will inadvertently benefit cryptocurrencies, especially with the enhanced linkage through ETFs.

The surge in Bitcoin’s value has also been partly attributed to the inflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as noted by Sergei Gorev, a risk manager at YouHodler.

He highlighted the significant daily purchases by these ETFs, stating, “Spot Bitcoin ETFs buy 10 times more Bitcoin daily than miners produce each day.”

With a total on-chain holding of $60.5 billion as of March 13, and based on recent trends, Bitcoin ETFs are on track to absorb a substantial portion of the BTC supply annually, per Dune data, further underscoring the growing mainstream acceptance and investment in Bitcoin ahead of the halving event.


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Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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