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Bitcoin (BTC)’s Worst Case Scenario: What Is Smart Money Up To?

Bitcoin (BTC)’s Worst Case Scenario: What Is Smart Money Up To?
Bitcoin Chart With Values Monthly Chart for BTC/USD The popular sentiment right now is that Bitcoin (BTC) is going down. Nobody can say for sure how low it is going to fall but most people are convinced that this is certainly not the end of this correction. As the chart above shows, Bitcoin (BTC) completed a correction of 86.54% between Nov 2013 and Sep 2015. A significant majority is of the view that this scenario is likely to unfold this time. If this were to happen, Bitcoin (BTC) would have to complete a correction of 86.54% in a period of 669 days which comes down to Oct, 2019. Your immediate reaction to this analysis would be, “What about the ETF? Is that not going to push the prices higher or are we not going to get an ETF till 2020?” Well, the question sorts of answers itself. If a 2014 styled scenario were to unfold, it would mean that we are just about to enter a bear market. So far, we have not entered a bear market as the BTC/USD price has remained above the 50 EMA on the monthly timeframe. That downtrend would then have to last for another two years, despite everything that is going on in the cryptocurrency space and the correction that we have already had. Bitcoin Chart With Values Monthly chart for Brave New Coin Liquid Index for Bitcoin: BNC:BLX This monthly chart for BNC:BLX shows a slightly different picture than the one before as it covers one extra month that the chart from Bitstamp does not. Most charts circulating in Bitcoin (BTC) forums date back to 2012 at most. Some analysts even base their analyses on charts dating back to 2013. In technical analysis, the more data there is, the more accurate the comparison is, because history may not repeat but it does rhyme. As the above chart shows, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) would have bottomed out according to this scenario, taking into account data since 2011. Even on this chart, the price has not broken below the monthly 50 EMA which means the price can be expected to bounce off the 50 EMA even if it falls below the trend line in the months ahead. However, the most likely scenario is that the price is not going to fall further and the bottom is already in. The HCCC Oscillator on the above chart shows a very interesting development. The green line of the HCCCO indicator shows the fast oscillator and the red line shows the slow oscillator. As you can see, during the beginning of the correction in 2014, the green and the red line are further apart as the correction begins. However, in 2018, the green and the red lines are closer, which means a few large orders could push the green oscillator above the red one and the price of Bitcoin (BTC) will shoot up as it did between 2012 and 2013. Bitcoin Chart With Values Daily chart for BTC/USD The chart above for BTC/USD shows the price is ready to take off from these levels. Whether or not it will be able to break past $7,700 is not clear yet. The price could fall again after rejection at the new downtrend resistance (white line). However, the question remains, “What is smart money up to?” The answer is simple. Smart money is accumulating Bitcoin (BTC) at these levels while at the same time setting some funds aside in case the price drops further. That way, even if the price falls, they can buy more to lower their dollar cost average as long term, most investors are now convinced, more than ever, that Bitcoin (BTC) is headed higher.

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ETH/USD Bulls Eyeing 668.87 as Upside Target: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 4 December 2020 ETH

ETH/USD Bulls Eyeing 668.87 as Upside Target: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 4 December 2020 ETH

Ethereum (ETH/USD) extended its recent strong price activity as traders continue to eye the psychologically-important 650 level following the pair’s ongoing gains.  Notably, ETH/USD has appreciated approximately 77% since the beginning of October, and has appreciated approximately 64% since the beginning of November.  The pair has recently traded around its recently-established multi-year high around at the 636.53 level, an area that was reached after Stops were elected above another recent relative multi-year high around the 623.22 area.  This recent multi-year high also represented a test of the 637.79 level, an upside price objective related to buying pressure that emerged earlier this year around the 135.12 area.  Additional upside price objectives include the 668.87, 679.78, and 698.88 areas, levels that relate to buying pressure that emerged earlier this year around the 125.52, 122.15, and 116.25 areas.

Following the move to a recent multi-year high, traders are paying close attention to recent areas of upside buying pressure, including the 370.50, 423.00, 439.77, and 480.08 areas.  Some important retracement levels related to these ranges include 561.37, 534.91, 514.93, 503.52, and 472.12Below current price activity, additional areas of technical support include the 507.55, 474.77, 406.48, and 395.87 levels. Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 567.55 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 596.14.

Technical Support is expected around 417.60/ 388.49/ 366.72 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 637.79/ 668.87/ 679.78 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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BTC/USD Bulls Eyeing 20311 as Upside Target: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 4 December 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Bulls Eyeing 20311 as Upside Target:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 4 December 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) extended its recent strong price activity as traders continue to eye the psychologically-important 20000 figure following the pair’s ongoing gains.  Notably, BTC/USD has appreciated approximately 84% since the beginning of October, and has appreciated approximately 44% since the beginning of November.  The pair has recently traded around its recently-established all-time high around the 19915.14 area, a level that was established after Stops were elected above the previous all-time high of 19891.99.  Additional upside price objectives include the 20311.36, 20534.46, and 21909.24 areas, levels that relate to buying pressure that emerged earlier this year around the 6430.00 and 6854.67 areas.

Following the move to a recent all-time high, traders are paying close attention to recent areas of upside buying pressure, including the 13215.00, 14310.00, 15708.24, 16200.00, and 17610.77 areas.  Some important retracement levels related to these ranges include 18762.96, 18154.60, 17355.69, 17112.57, 16701.07, 16304.69, and 15935.90.  Below current price activity, additional areas of technical support include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18393.19 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 19034.75.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19915.14/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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ETH/USD Holding 583.59 After Rebound Higher: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 3 December 2020 ETH

ETH/USD Holding 583.59 After Rebound Higher:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 3 December 2020 ETH

Ethereum (ETH/USD) gained ground in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 615.95 area after trading as low as the 586.11 area in the European session.  Notably, ETH/USD has appreciated approximately 77% since the beginning of October, and has appreciated approximately 64% since the beginning of November.  The pair has recently traded around its recently-established multi-year high around at the 636.53 level, an area that was reached after Stops were elected above another recent relative multi-year high around the 623.22 area.  This recent multi-year high also represented a test of the 637.79 level, an upside price objective related to buying pressure that emerged earlier this year around the 135.12 area.  Additional upside price objectives include the 668.87, 679.78, and 698.88 areas, levels that relate to buying pressure that emerged earlier this year around the 125.52, 122.15, and 116.25 areas.

Following the move to a recent multi-year high, traders are paying close attention to recent areas of upside buying pressure, including the 370.50, 423.00, 439.77, and 480.08 areas.  Some important retracement levels related to these ranges include 561.37, 534.91, 514.93, 503.52, and 472.12Below current price activity, additional areas of technical support include the 507.55, 474.77, 406.48, and 395.87 levels. Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 567.55 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 596.14.

Technical Support is expected around 417.60/ 388.49/ 366.72 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 637.79/ 668.87/ 679.78 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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BTC/USD Holding 19012.07 After Rebound: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 3 December 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Holding 19012.07 After Rebound:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 3 December 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) moved higher in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 19466.58 area after trading as low as the 18885.00 area in the European session, a test of the 18922.31 area that represents the 23.6% retracement of the recent appreciating range from 15708.24 to 19915.14. The pair has recently traded around its recently-established all-time high around the 19915.14 area, a level that was established after Stops were elected above the previous all-time high of 19891.99.  Additional upside price objectives include the 20311.36, 20534.46, and 21909.24 areas, levels that relate to buying pressure that emerged earlier this year around the 6430.00 and 6854.67 areas.

Following the move to a recent all-time high, traders are paying close attention to recent areas of upside buying pressure, including the 13215.00, 14310.00, 15708.24, 16200.00, and 17610.77 areas.  Some important retracement levels related to these ranges include 18762.96, 18154.60, 17355.69, 17112.57, 16701.07, 16304.69, and 15935.90.  Below current price activity, additional areas of technical support include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18393.19 and the 50-bar MA (Hourly) at 19034.75.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19915.14/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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