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Bitcoin (BTC) Has Never Been In A Long Term Bear Market

Bitcoin (BTC) Has Never Been In A Long Term Bear Market
Bitcoin Chart With Values Bitcoin (BTC) has never really been in a long term bear market. The price has traded in an ascending channel since 2011 according to the BNC:BLX weekly chart above. A long term bear market implies that the price has to break its ascending channel and enter a descending channel for a significant period of time. So far, Bitcoin (BTC) has had retracements and corrections, the biggest and longest of which was in 2014. However, this should not be alarming or even surprising to long term investors as the price has to fall back to the bottom of this ascending channel in order to rise again. It would come off as a surprise to many to see that Bitcoin (BTC) has been traded close to the bottom of this ascending channel since the beginning of 2016 but it has still not touched it. The price is currently trading just above $7,500 and in order to touch the bottom of this channel, the price will have retrace in the days ahead. The chances of Bitcoin (BTC) taking off from here without putting in a bottom are extremely low. Therefore, the price will have to fall further over the course of the next few days or weeks till it puts in a bottom. The big picture, however, has never looked this bullish before, not even in 2011. The reason for that is not just fundamental. Technical conditions this time are a lot more favorable than they were in 2011. The price has had a major correction. It has been trading in a sluggish manner near to the bottom of the channel since the beginning of 2016. In other words, Bitcoin (BTC) has effectively completed a long boring wave of correction since the beginning of 2014. In addition to that, Bitcoin (BTC) in 2018 is perceived a lot differently than it was in 2011. Back then, most believed that Bitcoin (BTC) was just for drug dealers, or it was a scam, or maybe it is one of those projects that may eventually vanish off after it loses its luster. Now, if a period of more than 4 years of boring bearish action since 2014 can have this big a positive impact, imagine what the next bull run, which has the potential to push Bitcoin (BTC) into mass adoption can do. Bitcoin Chart With Values As explained above, short term, the price has to pullback and put in a bottom. The daily chart for BTC/USD above shows that the price has effectively beached the 100 EMA as predicted in our last analysis on Bitcoin (BTC). The price is now struggling to get past the 50 EMA, which is likely to happen over the weekend as low trading volume on weekends allow for price to be manipulated easily. When that happens, the price will face no resistance to nosedive straight towards the support line. There is a high probability that this support line will be broken but as long as the long term weekly chart for BTC/USD respects its ascending channel, long term Bitcoin (BTC) investors have nothing to worry about.

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BTC/USD Back Above 19000 with 19500 the Next Hurdle: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Back Above 19000 with 19500 the Next Hurdle:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) extended recent gains early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 19350.01 area trading as low as the 18079.46 area in the Asian session, just below the 50-bar 4-hourly simple moving average.  Chartists observe that the 50-hour simple moving average has bullishly crossed above the 100-hour simple moving average, reflecting an appreciating market.  Traders are eager to see if BTC/USD will establish a new all-time high above the 19891.99 area in short order.  Traders are eyeing the 20311.36, 20534.46, and 21909.24 areas as upside price objectives if a new all-time high is established.  The pair stopped short of testing the 15808.49 area during the recent move lower, representing the 23.6% retracement of the wide appreciating range and absolute 2020 range from 3858 to 19500.  Significant Stops were elected during the decline including below the 18605.14, 18275.16, 18016.74, 17604.12, 17517.42, 17156.69, 17099.13, 16905.00, 16603.10, 16357.50, and 16292.58 levels

Traders will pay close attention to some potential areas of technical support during pullbacks lower and these include the 16092.69 and 15935.90 areas.  Notably, the 15935.90 and 16304.69 areas represent the 76.4% and 78.6% retracements of a historical depreciation from 19891.99 to 3128.89.  Further below current market activity, traders are paying close attention to additional potential areas of technical support during pullbacks and these include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 200-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18194.53 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 18214.01.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19500/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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ETH/USD Back Above 600 After Orbiting 551.65: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 ETH

ETH/USD Back Above 600 After Orbiting 551.65:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 ETH

Ethereum (ETH/USD) extended recent gains early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 605.00 area after trading as low as the 557.21 area in the Asian session.  Stops were elected above the 568.54, 589.44, and 596.11 areas during the appreciation, upside retracement levels related to the recent depreciating range from 623.22 to 480.08.  Prior to the depreciation, ETH/USD had been hovering around the 551.65 area, representing the 50% retracement of the depreciating range.  Traders are waiting to see if ETH/USD will appreciate to establish another multi-year high.  Traders are also paying close attention to technical resistance around the 627.83, 638.28, and 652.36 areas.  The pair’s recent pullback was a test of the 479.03 area, representing the 78.6% retracement of the appreciating range from 439.77 to 623.22.  One level that traders are carefully monitoring is the 503.57 area, a level that represents the 38.2% retracement of the recent appreciating range from 310.00 to 623.22, and price activity was recently buoyed above this area.  Stops were recently elected below a series of retracement levels including 579.73, 563.58, 553.14, 531.50, 526.88, 509.85, 496.86, and 483.06. Larger Stops were elected below the 550.01 and 504.72 areas, retracement levels related to the wider appreciating range from 313.00 to 623.22.  On the upside, Stops were recently elected above the 615.19 area during the climb higher, an upside price objective related to buying activity that originated around the 142.10 level earlier this year.  The pair’s next upside price objectives include the 637.79, 668.87, 679.78, and 698.88 levels.   

Stops were also recently elected above the 583.59 and 592.24 areas during the ascent, retracement levels related to selling pressure that commenced around the 894.50 and 1419.96 levelsStops were also recently elected above the 519.16, 521.13, 524.97, and 540.64 areas during the ascent higher, preceded by Stops triggered above the 503.54, 508.69, and 510.22 levels.  During pullbacks lower, traders are paying close attention to the pair’s trading activity around the 461.31 area, an upside price objective related to buying pressure that emerged months ago around the 125.52 area.   Some additional downside retracement levels include 432.71, 431.36, 427.78, 424.14, 422.81, 419.74, 415.20, 411.91, and 408.12. Additional areas of potential downside support include the 400.56, 395.87, 387.62, 380.03, 377.17, 367.24, 366.72, 354.44, and 353.78 areas.  Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 561.55 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 561.17.

Technical Support is expected around 417.60/ 388.49/ 366.72 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 627.83/ 637.79/ 668.87 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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BTC/USD Trapped By Moving Averages: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Trapped By Moving Averages:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) traded sideways early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 18248.21 area trading as low as the 17535.26 area in the Asian session, with the intraday low representing a test of the 38.2% retracement of the recent depreciating range from 19500 to 16200.  Traders observe that BTC/USD’s upside was capped by the 200-hour simple moving average during the European session, and supported around the 23.6% retracement of the depreciating range from 18980 to 17610.77 early in the North American session.  Also, the 50-bar 4-hourly simple moving average provided technical resistance during the North American session, and the intraday high also represented a test of an upside price objective around the 18256.14 area.  The pair stopped short of testing the 15808.49 area during the recent move lower, representing the 23.6% retracement of the wide appreciating range and absolute 2020 range from 3858 to 19500.  Significant Stops were elected during the decline including below the 18605.14, 18275.16, 18016.74, 17604.12, 17517.42, 17156.69, 17099.13, 16905.00, 16603.10, 16357.50, and 16292.58 levels.  If the pair is able to resume its upward trajectory and establish a new all-time high, traders are carefully monitoring the 20311.36 and 21909.24 areas as upside price objectives.  Similarly, the 20534.46 area is an upside price objective related to buying demand that originated earlier this year around the 6854.67 area. 

Traders will pay close attention to some potential areas of technical support during pullbacks lower and these include the 16092.69 and 15935.90 areas.  Notably, the 15935.90 and 16304.69 areas represent the 76.4% and 78.6% retracements of a historical depreciation from 19891.99 to 3128.89.  Further below current market activity, traders are paying close attention to additional potential areas of technical support during pullbacks and these include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18204.22 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 18235.20.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19500/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.

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ETH/USD Orbiting 551.65 Retracement Level: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 ETH

ETH/USD Orbiting 551.65 Retracement Level:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 ETH

Ethereum (ETH/USD) traded sideways early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 558.68 area after trading as low as the 531.00 area in the Asian session, a test of the 50% retracement of the appreciating range from 439.77 to 623.22.  Traders are observing that ETH/USD is tightly oscillating around the 551.65 area, representing the 50% retracement of the depreciating range from 623.22 to 480.08.  The next upside retracement levels in this range include the 568.54, 589.44, and 592.59 levels.   The recent pullback was a test of the 479.03 area, representing the 78.6% retracement of the appreciating range from 439.77 to 623.22.  One level that traders are carefully monitoring is the 503.57 area, a level that represents the 38.2% retracement of the recent appreciating range from 310.00 to 623.22, and price activity was recently buoyed above this area.  Stops were recently elected below a series of retracement levels including 579.73, 563.58, 553.14, 531.50, 526.88, 509.85, 496.86, and 483.06. Larger Stops were elected below the 550.01 and 504.72 areas, retracement levels related to the wider appreciating range from 313.00 to 623.22.  On the upside, Stops were recently elected above the 615.19 area during the climb higher, an upside price objective related to buying activity that originated around the 142.10 level earlier this year.  The pair’s next upside price objectives include the 637.79, 668.87, 679.78, and 698.88 levels.   Traders are also paying close attention to technical resistance around the 627.83, 638.28, and 652.36 areas. 

Stops were also recently elected above the 583.59 and 592.24 areas during the ascent, retracement levels related to selling pressure that commenced around the 894.50 and 1419.96 levelsStops were also recently elected above the 519.16, 521.13, 524.97, and 540.64 areas during the ascent higher, preceded by Stops triggered above the 503.54, 508.69, and 510.22 levels.  During pullbacks lower, traders are paying close attention to the pair’s trading activity around the 461.31 area, an upside price objective related to buying pressure that emerged months ago around the 125.52 area.   Some additional downside retracement levels include 432.71, 431.36, 427.78, 424.14, 422.81, 419.74, 415.20, 411.91, and 408.12. Additional areas of potential downside support include the 400.56, 395.87, 387.62, 380.03, 377.17, 367.24, 366.72, 354.44, and 353.78 areas.  Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 554.10 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 553.94.

Technical Support is expected around 417.60/ 388.49/ 366.72 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 627.83/ 637.79/ 668.87 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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