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Bitcoin (BTC) Fractal Analysis Shows Bots Still Dominate The Market

Bitcoin (BTC) Fractal Analysis Shows Bots Still Dominate The Market
Bitcoin Chart With Values Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen sharply in the last 24 hours on news of the SEC delaying its decision regarding the VanEck/SolidX Bitcoin ETF till September. The 4H chart above for BTC/USD shows that while the news served as a catalyst for yesterday’s price action, Bitcoin (BTC) would have eventually followed the same pattern as major trading activity is still dominated by bots. Fractal analysis of the above chart shows how closely Bitcoin (BTC) is following the same pattern that it followed between April and June. The timeframe however has decreased as Bitcoin (BTC) is now trading further along in a triangle and is poised to break out above or below it in the near future. RSI conditions on the 4H chart for Bitcoin (BTC) are heavily oversold and signal a recovery at this point. IFT Stochastic conditions also support a short term rally at this point, one that would reproduce the same fractal as before but with narrower timeframes. Lack of significant trading volume on exchanges has allowed bots to shape the direction of the market. These bots generally do not care about the long term outlook or direction of the market. They simply buy low and sell high. Lack of trading volume on most exchanges has also made it easy for the average investor to spot bot activity. If you browse through the order books for Bitcoin (BTC) on large exchanges like Bitfinex or Poloniex, you will see some orders on both sides of the order book. For instance, you would see an order for 1.263705 BTC on the buy side and you would then see the same amount of 1.263705 BTC on the sell side. The difference is in the price. You would see for instance that a bot has placed a buy order for 1.263705 BTC at a price of $6,510 and a sell order for 1.263705 BTC at $6620. In times like these when the volume is low, bots can easily manipulate markets whichever way they are programmed to. So, if market makers want to drive the price down, they will put pressure by pilling up fake orders on the sell side. This creates a big sell wall and scare amateur investors into selling their Bitcoin (BTC) to these whales, successfully falling for their schemes. As for market makers, there are big pools of investors who provide liquidity to most of these large exchanges. When the volume is low, it is up to these market makers to keep the order books active. So, even if they manipulate the price every now and then, exchanges often turn a blind eye because they need these market makers at times of low volume. Bitcoin Chart With Values While most indicators on the 4H chart favor a short term reversal as oversold conditions are reached, the daily chart above for BTC/USD shows that Bitcoin (BTC) still has enough room to fall further. RSI conditions on the daily chart show signs of weakness and room for further downside. MACD on the other hand presents a more severe scenario indicating that Bitcoin (BTC) can fall sharply till September. Trading volume has shown signs of improvement but Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to continue falling further unless it finds a bottom to mark an end to this correction and begin a new cycle.

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BTC/USD Back Above 19000 with 19500 the Next Hurdle: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Back Above 19000 with 19500 the Next Hurdle:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) extended recent gains early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 19350.01 area trading as low as the 18079.46 area in the Asian session, just below the 50-bar 4-hourly simple moving average.  Chartists observe that the 50-hour simple moving average has bullishly crossed above the 100-hour simple moving average, reflecting an appreciating market.  Traders are eager to see if BTC/USD will establish a new all-time high above the 19891.99 area in short order.  Traders are eyeing the 20311.36, 20534.46, and 21909.24 areas as upside price objectives if a new all-time high is established.  The pair stopped short of testing the 15808.49 area during the recent move lower, representing the 23.6% retracement of the wide appreciating range and absolute 2020 range from 3858 to 19500.  Significant Stops were elected during the decline including below the 18605.14, 18275.16, 18016.74, 17604.12, 17517.42, 17156.69, 17099.13, 16905.00, 16603.10, 16357.50, and 16292.58 levels

Traders will pay close attention to some potential areas of technical support during pullbacks lower and these include the 16092.69 and 15935.90 areas.  Notably, the 15935.90 and 16304.69 areas represent the 76.4% and 78.6% retracements of a historical depreciation from 19891.99 to 3128.89.  Further below current market activity, traders are paying close attention to additional potential areas of technical support during pullbacks and these include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 200-bar MA (hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18194.53 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 18214.01.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19500/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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ETH/USD Back Above 600 After Orbiting 551.65: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 ETH

ETH/USD Back Above 600 After Orbiting 551.65:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 30 November 2020 ETH

Ethereum (ETH/USD) extended recent gains early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 605.00 area after trading as low as the 557.21 area in the Asian session.  Stops were elected above the 568.54, 589.44, and 596.11 areas during the appreciation, upside retracement levels related to the recent depreciating range from 623.22 to 480.08.  Prior to the depreciation, ETH/USD had been hovering around the 551.65 area, representing the 50% retracement of the depreciating range.  Traders are waiting to see if ETH/USD will appreciate to establish another multi-year high.  Traders are also paying close attention to technical resistance around the 627.83, 638.28, and 652.36 areas.  The pair’s recent pullback was a test of the 479.03 area, representing the 78.6% retracement of the appreciating range from 439.77 to 623.22.  One level that traders are carefully monitoring is the 503.57 area, a level that represents the 38.2% retracement of the recent appreciating range from 310.00 to 623.22, and price activity was recently buoyed above this area.  Stops were recently elected below a series of retracement levels including 579.73, 563.58, 553.14, 531.50, 526.88, 509.85, 496.86, and 483.06. Larger Stops were elected below the 550.01 and 504.72 areas, retracement levels related to the wider appreciating range from 313.00 to 623.22.  On the upside, Stops were recently elected above the 615.19 area during the climb higher, an upside price objective related to buying activity that originated around the 142.10 level earlier this year.  The pair’s next upside price objectives include the 637.79, 668.87, 679.78, and 698.88 levels.   

Stops were also recently elected above the 583.59 and 592.24 areas during the ascent, retracement levels related to selling pressure that commenced around the 894.50 and 1419.96 levelsStops were also recently elected above the 519.16, 521.13, 524.97, and 540.64 areas during the ascent higher, preceded by Stops triggered above the 503.54, 508.69, and 510.22 levels.  During pullbacks lower, traders are paying close attention to the pair’s trading activity around the 461.31 area, an upside price objective related to buying pressure that emerged months ago around the 125.52 area.   Some additional downside retracement levels include 432.71, 431.36, 427.78, 424.14, 422.81, 419.74, 415.20, 411.91, and 408.12. Additional areas of potential downside support include the 400.56, 395.87, 387.62, 380.03, 377.17, 367.24, 366.72, 354.44, and 353.78 areas.  Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 561.55 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 561.17.

Technical Support is expected around 417.60/ 388.49/ 366.72 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 627.83/ 637.79/ 668.87 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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BTC/USD Trapped By Moving Averages: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 BTC

BTC/USD Trapped By Moving Averages:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 BTC

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) traded sideways early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 18248.21 area trading as low as the 17535.26 area in the Asian session, with the intraday low representing a test of the 38.2% retracement of the recent depreciating range from 19500 to 16200.  Traders observe that BTC/USD’s upside was capped by the 200-hour simple moving average during the European session, and supported around the 23.6% retracement of the depreciating range from 18980 to 17610.77 early in the North American session.  Also, the 50-bar 4-hourly simple moving average provided technical resistance during the North American session, and the intraday high also represented a test of an upside price objective around the 18256.14 area.  The pair stopped short of testing the 15808.49 area during the recent move lower, representing the 23.6% retracement of the wide appreciating range and absolute 2020 range from 3858 to 19500.  Significant Stops were elected during the decline including below the 18605.14, 18275.16, 18016.74, 17604.12, 17517.42, 17156.69, 17099.13, 16905.00, 16603.10, 16357.50, and 16292.58 levels.  If the pair is able to resume its upward trajectory and establish a new all-time high, traders are carefully monitoring the 20311.36 and 21909.24 areas as upside price objectives.  Similarly, the 20534.46 area is an upside price objective related to buying demand that originated earlier this year around the 6854.67 area. 

Traders will pay close attention to some potential areas of technical support during pullbacks lower and these include the 16092.69 and 15935.90 areas.  Notably, the 15935.90 and 16304.69 areas represent the 76.4% and 78.6% retracements of a historical depreciation from 19891.99 to 3128.89.  Further below current market activity, traders are paying close attention to additional potential areas of technical support during pullbacks and these include the 14273.50, 14259.01, 14101.50, 13989.55, 13892.29, 13705.50, 13663.43, and 13594.42 levels. Chartists are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).   Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 18204.22 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 18235.20.

Technical Support is expected around 16200/ 15996.17/ 15479.66 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 19500/ 20311.36/ 21909.24 with Stops expected above.  

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.

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ETH/USD Orbiting 551.65 Retracement Level: Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 ETH

ETH/USD Orbiting 551.65 Retracement Level:  Sally Ho's Technical Analysis 29 November 2020 ETH

Ethereum (ETH/USD) traded sideways early in today’s North American session as the pair appreciated to the 558.68 area after trading as low as the 531.00 area in the Asian session, a test of the 50% retracement of the appreciating range from 439.77 to 623.22.  Traders are observing that ETH/USD is tightly oscillating around the 551.65 area, representing the 50% retracement of the depreciating range from 623.22 to 480.08.  The next upside retracement levels in this range include the 568.54, 589.44, and 592.59 levels.   The recent pullback was a test of the 479.03 area, representing the 78.6% retracement of the appreciating range from 439.77 to 623.22.  One level that traders are carefully monitoring is the 503.57 area, a level that represents the 38.2% retracement of the recent appreciating range from 310.00 to 623.22, and price activity was recently buoyed above this area.  Stops were recently elected below a series of retracement levels including 579.73, 563.58, 553.14, 531.50, 526.88, 509.85, 496.86, and 483.06. Larger Stops were elected below the 550.01 and 504.72 areas, retracement levels related to the wider appreciating range from 313.00 to 623.22.  On the upside, Stops were recently elected above the 615.19 area during the climb higher, an upside price objective related to buying activity that originated around the 142.10 level earlier this year.  The pair’s next upside price objectives include the 637.79, 668.87, 679.78, and 698.88 levels.   Traders are also paying close attention to technical resistance around the 627.83, 638.28, and 652.36 areas. 

Stops were also recently elected above the 583.59 and 592.24 areas during the ascent, retracement levels related to selling pressure that commenced around the 894.50 and 1419.96 levelsStops were also recently elected above the 519.16, 521.13, 524.97, and 540.64 areas during the ascent higher, preceded by Stops triggered above the 503.54, 508.69, and 510.22 levels.  During pullbacks lower, traders are paying close attention to the pair’s trading activity around the 461.31 area, an upside price objective related to buying pressure that emerged months ago around the 125.52 area.   Some additional downside retracement levels include 432.71, 431.36, 427.78, 424.14, 422.81, 419.74, 415.20, 411.91, and 408.12. Additional areas of potential downside support include the 400.56, 395.87, 387.62, 380.03, 377.17, 367.24, 366.72, 354.44, and 353.78 areas.  Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bullishly indicating above the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and above the 200-bar MA (4-hourly).  Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) at 554.10 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 553.94.

Technical Support is expected around 417.60/ 388.49/ 366.72 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 627.83/ 637.79/ 668.87 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

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